The 2024 Presidential Election Hinges on 8 Key States
The outcome of the closely contested 2024 presidential election is likely to be determined by eight battleground states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, New Hampshire, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. These states have a significant number of independent voters who are likely to play a decisive role in determining the final outcome. In 2016, Donald Trump won the election by narrow margins in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. In 2020, Joe Biden won by a small margin in Georgia, Arizona, and Wisconsin. The 2024 election is expected to be another close race.
Pennsylvania is seen as advantageous for Democrats due to the higher number of registered Democrats compared to Republicans. In Arizona, Republicans would need to resolve infighting between Trump supporters and the late John McCain’s backers to secure a victory. Georgia is a state where both parties have hopes of winning, with Democrats holding both U.S. Senate seats. Michigan Democrats are concerned about the possibility of a third-party candidate taking votes from Biden. North Carolina is potentially moving away from the Republican Party and becoming a “true purple state.” In Nevada, the GOP nominee would need to appeal to suburban voters to win the state.
Overall, the 2024 election is expected to be a close race that will likely hinge on the outcomes in these battleground states.