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Trump holds 3-point lead over Biden in Ipsos Poll following Hur report scandal



President Joe Biden and his leading Republican challenger Donald Trump remain locked in a tight election rematch, after a special prosecutor’s report commenting on the Democrat incumbent’s mental acuity, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found.

The four-day poll, which closed Monday, showed former President Trump with the support of 37% of respondents, compared with 34% support for Biden, exceeding the survey’s 2.9 percentage point margin of error.

Some 10% said they would vote for other candidates; 12% said they would not vote; and 8% refused to answer the nationwide poll conducted online with responses from 1,237 U.S. adults.

The poll was conducted in the days after special counsel Robert Hur released a report that declined to charge Biden for taking classified documents when he left the vice presidency in 2017, but also described him as a “well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory.”

The White House has sharply disputed that characterization.

The finding showed a closer race than a poll last month that found Trump holding a 6 percentage point lead.

It also showed that one potential major political liability facing Trump is the ongoing four criminal prosecutions he faces. One in four self-identified Republicans and about half of independents responding said they would not vote for Trump if he was convicted of a felony crime by a jury.

A nationwide survey does not capture the subtleties of the electoral college contest that will be decided this fall in just a handful of competitive states. The Electoral College results are the final determinant of the presidential election outcome.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll surveyed 1,237 U.S. adults nationwide between Feb. 9-12. It had a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points in either direction.


© 2024 Thomson/Reuters. All rights reserved.



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