Trump in the Lead According to NBC Poll
Former President Donald Trump is currently leading President Joe Biden in a recent national poll by NBC News, signaling a close race as the 2024 presidential election approaches, as reported by USA Today.
The latest survey released on Sunday shows Trump with 46 percent support among voters compared to Biden’s 44 percent. This marks a shift from January when Biden had 42 percent support and Trump led with 47 percent.
The poll, which surveyed 1,000 registered voters via cellphone from April 12 to 16, has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.
While Trump currently holds a slight lead, the margin of error makes it difficult to definitively determine the frontrunner. However, the fluctuation between the two NBC News polls indicates a recent shift in voter sentiment.
According to the poll, Trump is leading among male, white, and non-college-educated voters, while Biden is receiving support from Black, Latino, and female voters. Independent and young voters are evenly split between the two candidates.
A separate USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll from last month also showed Trump with a slight advantage over Biden, polling at 40 percent compared to Biden’s 38 percent.
As the election approaches, the primary concerns among voters identified in NBC News’ poll are inflation, the cost of living, and immigration.
When alternative candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein are introduced, Biden narrowly edges Trump with 39 percent support compared to Trump’s 37 percent, falling within the poll’s margin of error.
More Trump supporters opt for Kennedy as a third-party alternative. Biden’s approval rating has seen an increase, rising to 42 percent in April from 37 percent in January, although most voters still disapprove of his presidency.
On key issues, voters favor Biden’s stance on abortion and see him as better at uniting the country. Trump leads in handling inflation, perceived competency, and is deemed fit for the presidency mentally and physically.
NBC’s poll also indicates a decrease in interest in the election compared to previous years, with only 64 percent of respondents expressing high interest. GOP pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies described this level of interest as “off-the-charts low,” potentially indicating lower voter turnout.
Jim Thomas ✉
Jim Thomas is a writer based in Indiana. He holds a bachelor’s degree in Political Science, a law degree from U.I.C. Law School, and has practiced law for more than 20 years.
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