Biden faces a larger gender gap among voters than Trump

From the time the Democrats sought a glimmer of hope before Walter Mondale’s defeat to Ronald Reagan in 1984, they have often highlighted the gender gap among voters.

Indeed, a gap existed.

Reagan won 62% to 38% among men, but also claimed victory among women with a margin of 58% to 42%.

While there was an 8-point gap, Mondale was overwhelmingly defeated.

Fast forward 40 years later, as Republican Donald Trump leads incumbent Democrat Joe Biden, the liberal media once again points to the same gender gap.

Based on the media’s 2020 exit polls, Trump edged out Biden among men with a 53% to 45% lead.

However, Biden secured a wider margin among women, with 57% to 42% in his favor.

The issue, though, is more intricate and nuanced than what the liberal spin suggests.

Party affiliation, marital status, and education play a more significant role in defining voters than gender.

What troubles liberal Democrats more are Trump’s advancements among minority voters, particularly men.

According to the recent April national poll conducted by McLaughlin & Associates on 1,000 likely voters, Trump leads Biden 49% to 45% among all voters.

Some more recent media polls show President Trump with an even larger lead.

However, what the liberal Biden supporters fail to mention is that Trump leads among all men with 54% to 41% — a net gain of 6 points from 2020. Among women, Trump has narrowed Biden’s 15-point lead in 2020 to only 4 points, with Biden barely winning at 48% to 44%.

While there is a gap, it is not substantial enough to make a significant difference.

The gender gap mainly reflects a Biden shortfall among men rather than a Trump deficit among women.

Trump’s emphasis on maintaining America’s safety is resonating with “Safety Moms” who prioritize issues like immigration and crime.

There is no notable gender gap within the Republican Party, as Trump wins among Republican men 95% to 5% and Republican women 90% to 6%.

On the other hand, among Democratic men, Biden wins by a narrower margin of 83% to 14%, and among Democratic women with 85% to 10%.

While some polls show Trump leading among independents, our poll indicates Biden’s lead among independent men at 48% to 42% and a tie among independent women with Biden at 42% and Trump at 40%.

By maximizing Republican support and gaining a significant portion of Democratic men and women, Trump has managed to secure the overall lead.

There are other notable gaps that Biden should be concerned about.

For instance, there’s the marriage gap where Trump leads among married men 58% to 39% and among married women 49% to 44%.

Additionally, while single men show nearly equal support for Trump and Biden, with Trump at 47% and Biden at 46%, Biden only leads among single women with 52% to 38%.

Another significant gap is the working-class divide. Trump has positioned the Republican Party as the party of working men and women, contrasting with Biden’s appeal to college-educated, elite individuals.

Trump secures a strong lead among men without a college degree, with 63% to 32%, and among women without degrees, with 50% to 42%. On the other hand, Biden wins among male and female college graduates.

Moreover, Trump leads among white men 56% to 40% and among white women 50% to 41%, proving to be advantageous for Trump as Biden struggles to connect with the working-class demographic.

However, what is particularly concerning for the Democratic party is Trump’s increasing support among African American and Hispanic men and women compared to 2020.

Trump now receives 31% support among African American men and 24% among African American women, which is more than double from the previous election.

Lastly, Trump captures almost half of Hispanic women with 45% support and wins Hispanic men with 58% to 38%.

John McLaughlin is CEO of survey-research firm McLaughlin & Associates, which conducts polls for the Trump campaign.