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Egg Prices Surge Almost 100% Since October, Reports USDA


Over the last month, avian flu outbreaks have impacted more than 6 million birds.

Consumers in the United States are now paying nearly twice as much for eggs compared to a few weeks ago, as ongoing bird flu incidents continue to affect the supply chain, and frozen egg inventories remain below last year’s levels.

The cost of a dozen eggs has surged from $2.11 in early October to $4.16 currently, marking an increase of over 97 percent in just under two months.
“Recent outbreaks of highly pathogenic avian influenza in California have resulted in the loss of 1.5 million layers [egg-laying birds], tightening supply and bolstering market prices,” stated the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) in a report dated November 29.
According to agency data, the number of egg-laying birds totaled 377 million in October, reflecting a 3 percent decline from the previous year. A decrease in the number of hens typically translates to a reduction in egg production, driving prices higher. Additionally, the volume of frozen eggs in storage has decreased by 22 percent from November 2023 and is currently at its lowest point since spring 2023.

According to the USDA, demand for eggs during Thanksgiving was the lowest it has been since 2015. However, “with a shorter period between Thanksgiving and Christmas this year, wholesale demand—which usually sees a brief dip after Thanksgiving—is expected to stabilize as preparations begin for December’s cookie baking season,” the report noted.

The current surge in bird flu is affecting the availability of cage-free eggs. California, Nevada, Washington, and Oregon mandate that only cage-free eggs can be sold in their states.

Emily Metz, President of the American Egg Board, commented, “We are redistributing eggs from other regions of the country that are producing cage-free to mitigate the low supply in these states, as these states permit only cage-free eggs for sale.”

Chad Hart, a professor and agricultural economist at Iowa State University, indicated that while the egg industry is making efforts to replenish its flock, this process may further limit supplies as farmers must retain some eggs to incubate into new chickens.

On a brighter note for poultry farmers in the U.S., the cost of chicken feed—which accounts for a significant portion of farmers’ expenses—has considerably dropped after seeing a dramatic increase from 2020 to 2022, according to Hart.

Current Flu Situation

Data from the Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (APHIS) reveals that as of November 29, 6.26 million birds have been affected by avian flu within the past month, encompassing both commercial and backyard flocks. California is the hardest-hit state, accounting for over 5.12 million infected birds.

“All parties involved in poultry production, from small backyard operations to large commercial entities, should revisit their biosecurity measures to ensure the health of their flocks,” stated APHIS in a statement on November 18. “The U.S. has the most robust AI surveillance program globally, and the USDA is collaborating with partners to actively monitor for the disease in commercial poultry operations, live bird markets, and migratory wild bird populations.”
A recent USDA report highlighted that the population of egg-laying hens is still in the process of recovery from losses experienced in October, with additional culling occurring in early November.

“Egg prices for 2024 are anticipated to increase due to current prices and tight supplies. For 2025, egg price predictions have been adjusted upward for the first and second quarters as supplies improve,” the report stated.

Since January 2022, over 111 million birds have suffered due to avian flu across the nation, according to information from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. There have been a total of 1,242 outbreaks reported across 547 counties.

This year, the most significant outbreak took place in Sioux, Iowa, back in May, affecting over 4.28 million birds, followed by Ionia, Michigan, which reported an outbreak involving 2.42 million birds in April.

Avian flu has also been transmitted to humans, with a total of 55 confirmed cases reported to date. California leads in reported infections with 29 cases, trailed by states such as Washington, Colorado, Michigan, Missouri, Oregon, and Texas.

“While the current risk to public health is low, the CDC is closely monitoring the situation and coordinating with states to observe individuals with exposure to animals,” the agency noted.

This report includes contributions from the Associated Press.



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