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Gender Voting Trends in the 2024 Election: A Shift in Patterns


The gender gap in politics has expanded since 2020, as recent polls indicate. A rise in voter turnout along gender lines could potentially sway the election, given that women make up a slight majority of voters.

Analysts debate whether the gap is lessening in the days leading up to the election, with some suggesting that identity factors like education and race may have a more significant impact on voters’ decisions.

Historically, women have tended to vote for Democrats while men favored Republicans since the 1980 election, as per Roper Research.
Recent polls show Vice President Kamala Harris leading among female voters and former President Donald Trump leading among male voters, continuing the trend seen in the 2020 election.
Experts predict a potential historic gender gap in this election, with some suggesting it could exceed 20 percent.

One explanation for the widening gap is the increased engagement of voters in this election, amplifying existing gender preferences. As Harris focuses on mobilizing women and Trump attracts more men, the gap widens based on individual candidates’ performance, according to Lee Miringoff.

Early voting data shows a higher percentage of women compared to men as of October 31, suggesting a potential impact on the election outcome.

Gap May Be Narrowing

Both campaigns are making efforts to reduce their gender disparities, with Trump appealing to women and Harris reaching out to men.

Trump’s safety message has resonated with some women concerned about border security, while Harris has focused on important issues like abortion to connect with male voters.

Both campaigns have garnered support from various demographics, with each narrowing their gender disadvantages in recent polling.

Other Demographics Shifting

Experts emphasize the importance of considering multiple demographic factors like education and race in understanding voters’ preferences.

Recent surveys reflect shifts in support among minority groups, with varying trends among black, Hispanic, and Asian voters compared to previous elections.
Election Day is approaching, with early voting already underway in many states.



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