The Impact of a Trump Presidency on Global Conflict and European Security | International News

Donald Trump claims he will resolve Russia’s war in Ukraine if re-elected to the White House, but a hasty agreement may leave Kyiv in a weaker position and European security at greater risk.

Another key area a Trump presidency would immediately impact is the escalating conflict between Iran and Israel.

During his first term, Mr. Trump came close to direct conflict with Tehran, and this time, there may be a shift from restraint to confrontation.

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Additionally, the long-term challenge presented by China, along with the growing issue of North Korea, especially after Mr. Trump’s unsuccessful attempts to gain favor with the North Korean leader during his first term, will be major concerns.

With the US election hanging in the balance, nations worldwide are considering the potential implications of a second Trump White House on their national interests and global security threats.

Mr. Trump’s reputation for unpredictability is a challenge not only for traditional adversaries but also for close allies, particularly NATO members.

The Republican candidate has expressed frustration over the US funding European security for decades, and his threats to withdraw from the alliance during his first term would have severe consequences. However, his rhetoric did motivate allies to increase military spending.

Despite this, the extensive damage from years of underinvestment means European NATO members and Canada are unlikely to attain significant military strength on their own in the near future.

If Trump wins the election, Ukraine and Iran would most immediately feel the impact, with the candidate claiming he will swiftly end the Ukraine war without specifying how or what peace would entail.

However, his criticism of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy for securing substantial US aid has raised questions about the future of Ukrainian resistance should American weapons stop flowing.

On the subject of Putin and Iran, Trump’s relationship with the Russian president adds an element of unpredictability to assessing the potential impact of another Trump term on global affairs – particularly regarding conflict in the region.

Unlike his approach to the Ukraine conflict, a second Trump term might involve greater US military support in Israel’s battle against Iran and possible direct US involvement in strikes against Tehran.

Mr. Trump’s stance on Iran’s nuclear ambitions is tougher than Biden’s, with his decision to invalidate the Iran nuclear deal being a significant foreign policy move during his presidency.

Personal grievances, such as alleged hacks by Iran on his campaign, further complicate relations with Tehran.

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