US Election Poll Tracker: Who is Leading in the Race? Stay Updated with the Latest Polls and Try our Prediction Game to Guess the Winner | US News
The upcoming presidential election on November 5th is expected to be the closest race since at least 2000.
With just a few days to go, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are neck and neck in a dead heat, as per the latest polls.
The US election is not just about the popular vote, but also about winning the key states.
How does the US election work?
If we tally up the votes in “safe” states, Harris has 225 electoral college votes and Trump has 219, in their race to 270.
With 94 votes remaining in the swing states, Harris needs 45 to secure the presidency while Trump needs 51. Harris is currently ahead in more of these crucial states.
Read about the latest developments in the US election in our live blog
Although the leads are slim, within the margin of error, Harris could win by holding onto her current lead in key states and securing one of the tied states. Trump, on the other hand, would need to win both tied states and the ones where he is leading.
In the betting odds, Trump and Harris have been in a close contest with Trump recently taking a significant lead.
The percentage indicates the overall chance of winning for the candidates, not the vote share or electoral college distribution.
Predict who you think will win in each swing state and we’ll determine the president if your predictions are correct.
Battleground states
Many states are already leaning towards a particular party. For example, California and New York have consistently voted Democrat, while Texas has favored Republicans.
Thus, the focus is on the critical swing states that could go either way.
If Trump fails to win Pennsylvania, his path to victory becomes narrow, needing to secure at least four of the remaining six major states.
However, if he wins Pennsylvania, he could become president by winning just two other states.
One electoral vote in Nebraska 2nd could tip the balance under certain scenarios.
If Trump wins Pennsylvania and Michigan and maintains other results from 2020, he would reach 269 votes – Nebraska 2nd would be decisive in this case.
What happens if it’s a tie in the electoral college?
How does the US election work?
Each state conducts its own election for president independently.
States are assigned electoral college votes based on their population.
California, the most populous state, has 54 electoral college votes.
A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to become president.
Most states follow a winner-takes-all system for electoral votes.
Who is the people’s favourite?
Public opinion plays a significant role in elections, with candidates’ favorability ratings influencing the outcome.
Americans view Trump less favorably than Harris, though their ratings have been converging recently.
As the election draws near, monitoring polls and betting markets can provide insights into the presidential race’s trajectory.
Stay updated with live coverage on Sky News as exit polls roll in from across the US.
The Data and Forensics team is a multi-skilled unit dedicated to providing transparent journalism from Sky News. We gather, analyse and visualise data to tell data-driven stories. We combine traditional reporting skills with advanced analysis of satellite images, social media and other open source information. Through multimedia storytelling, we aim to better explain the world while also showing how our journalism is done.
