Think Tank Predicts Economic Inactivity Could Increase to 4.3 Million Due to Long-Term Illness
The UK has been labeled the literal ‘sick man of Europe’ by The Institute for Public Policy Research, with a rise in long-term health conditions.
A forecast by a think tank suggests that if current trends continue, the number of economically inactive people due to sickness could reach 4.3 million in five years—a 50 percent increase from the current 2.8 million.
This absence leads to an estimated loss of nearly £5 billion in tax receipts, according to researchers.
The IPPR’s Commission on Health and Prosperity found a correlation between the UK’s declining public health and economic performance.
The report authors attribute the UK’s status as the ‘sick man of Europe’ to the increase in long-term health conditions.
The report highlights challenges for individuals of all ages, emphasizing a worsening health situation both pre- and post-pandemic.
Additionally, the report addresses the issue of ‘spiraling’ inactivity among individuals due to illness.
Liz Kendall, Secretary for Work and Pensions, emphasized the employment challenges posed by rising inactivity rates.
The Labour Market Advisory (LMA) board stated that the UK faces deep-rooted employment challenges, especially among young people.
Lord Ara Darzi, former health minister, highlighted the urgency to address the rising sickness levels and called for a policy transformation in public health.
The findings underscored shortcomings in cancer care, increased waiting times, and a considerable rise in A&E fatalities, urging the government to implement reforms in the 10-year health service plan.
Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer echoed the need for NHS reform, emphasizing the importance of structural changes alongside financial support.
Reiterating the IPPR’s findings, the Department of Health and Social Care vowed to shift the NHS focus towards preventive healthcare.
PA Media contributed to this report.
