Poll: Le Pen Expected to Win French Parliamentary Election

A recent poll conducted by Elabe for BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche revealed that Marine Le Pen’s National Rally Party is leading in France’s legislative election with 31% of the vote. In contrast, President Emmanuel Macron’s Renaissance Party is in third place with 18%, while an alliance of left-wing parties is projected to receive 28%.

The survey, which involved 1,502 adults and was conducted online, was done prior to Macron’s speech where he stated that he will not resign if his party does not win the election. The poll also indicated that 39% of respondents prefer Jordan Bardella, Le Pen’s political heir, as the next prime minister of France.

Le Pen is considered a frontrunner for the 2027 election, as Macron is restricted from seeking reelection due to term limits. Additionally, a majority of respondents (72%) believe that Macron is a hindrance for his party’s success.

Following a defeat in the European Parliament elections, Macron dissolved France’s National Assembly and called for a snap election on June 30. If Le Pen’s National Rally party secures a majority in the parliament, Macron may find himself with limited power for the remainder of his term.

“We are ready to take over power if the French give us their trust in the upcoming national elections,” Le Pen stated at a rally.

Currently, Macron’s party holds 169 out of 577 seats in the lower house, compared to Le Pen’s party with 88 lawmakers.